Dunkel Tracking

[Oompajc]

I am personally fascinated with the fact that 'Dunkel' has picks on EVERY GAME EVERY DAY! I know its a free service, but I want to see if it might be good fade material. I am gonna track it for a few and see what happens.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 28

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); Over      LOSER/WINNER

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8 1/2 
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over        WINNER/WINNER

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under         WINNER/WINNER

Game 957-958: Florida at San Francisco (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under      WINNER/LOSER

Game 959-960: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-270); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-270); Over   WINNER/PUSH

Game 961-962: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under  WINNER/LOSER

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Colorado (-220); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-220); Over  LOSER/LOSER

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under  WINNER/WINNER

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over  LOSER/WINNER

Game 969-970: Boston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under   WINNER/LOSER

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over  WINNER/LOSER

Game 975-976: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-235); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-235); Under  WINNER/LOSER

Game 977-978: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Over   WINNER/LOSER

Game 979-980: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Under   WINNER/LOSER


Picks:  11-3

O/U: 5-8-1

[captjoe388]

Good idea. I've never seen results from Dunkel and as you say he does have picks everyday. He also does FB coll&pro and BB. The true test of his worth is to track his units won rather than games won or lost. Example yesterday a -220 play lost and counts as 1 loss, when in reality you laid more than double. Kinda like ben Lee Eckstein who always has more winners than losers but still manages to lose a couple a dimes a year.

 

[Oompajc]

You are right joe. I will track units as well. I will 'assume' each play is 1 unit.

Is there an 'easy' way to track the units?

[captjoe388]

As you track Wins and losses add or subtract. eg Yanks -250W Mets + 130 L for these 2 games 
Dunk would be -000 I think using $100=1 unit will work. Now reverse the 2 games above and you get Yanks -250 L Mets +130 W and the Dunk is down $120. Not really hard but time consuming.
 Thanks for doing this.And good luck
       

[Oompajc]

Game 901-902: St. Louis at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145); Over  WINNER/LOSER

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Washington (12:35 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Under  LOSER/WINNER

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Colorado (-280); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-280); Over    WINNER/WINNER
 
Game 907-908: Florida at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under    LOSER/WINNER

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Over   LOSER/LOSER

Game 911-912: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under  WINNER/WINNER

Game 913-914: Detroit at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-240); Over  WINNER/LOSER

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over  WINNER/WINNER

Game 917-918: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Over  WINNER/WINNER

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135); Under   LOSER/LOSER

Game 921-922: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-170); Over  WINNER/WINNER


Sides:  7-4  (all 7 wins are heavy chalk)

O/U:  7-4

(...still working on an excel spreadsheet to calculate units.)


Since 7/28/10

Sides: 18-7

O/U: 12-12-1

[Oompajc]

FRIDAY, JULY 30

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Over       WINNER/WINNER

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Under       LOSER/LOSER

Game 955-956: Arizona at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over      WINNER/WINNER

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under    LOSER/LOSER

Game 959-960: Pittsbugh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-320); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+260); Over     LOSER/LOSER

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (9:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Under   WINNER/LOSER

Game 963-964: Florida at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-135); Over    LOSER/LOSER

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-180); Under    WINNER/LOSER

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Toronto (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-180); Over      WINNER/WINNER

Game 969-970: Detroit at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Boston (-270); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-270); Under     LOSER/WINNER

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over     LOSER/LOSER

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135); Under    WINNER/LOSER

Game 975-976: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over    LOSER/LOSER

Game 977-978: Seattle at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-180); Under    WINNER/WINNER

Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Over   WINNER/WINNER

For the day...

Sides:  8-7 (7 of 8 winners were chalk)

O/U: 6-9


SINCE JULY 28, 2010

Sides: 26-14

O/U: 18-21-1

[Oompajc]

My analysis

In the 3 days I tracked plays, he played 40 plays. Of those 40 plays, there were 7 dogs chosen. Record for those: 4-3.

All other plays were chalk, going: 22-11. The average chalk on these was @ -170.

The O/U bets are decent fade material, going 18-21-1.

[WCU10]

Are you still going to track the plays?   To get a true fade or play material 3 days is not that great.  I honestly do not know what would be good to say how long but I would not jump on just fading O/U as he might have had just a bad run like many others who cap as well.  I would hate to see you jump on the fade train and find out his O/U hit a good % and his sides are the ones you should have faded.

Great job look forward to seeing the results.